Writing about Trump has almost become boring. The guy is so insane that I doubt that he, himself, will ever get boring but writing about him is getting close. Just how many trainwrecks does one have to see before not bothering to look? I am getting close.
Writing about Trudeau is getting to be much the same, too. Foot-in-mouthism, whiny drama crap, then a sad-eye, squinchy-faced apology. ”That’s getting to be more than a bit lame, Justy.”
Hearing of idiot ‘leaders’ trying to ‘re-open the economy’ just to have them fall back five steps a week later is also getting tiresome. Ron DeSantis (R – governor of Florida) has proven beyond incompetent, he is verging on criminal negligence. Ditto Greg Abbott of Texas but Doug Ford is not trailing them by much. Arizona and California not much better. The clear and simple message is their and our leaders are failing us, they are incapable and incompetent and the proof is in the growth of the pandemic and the shrivelling of the economy not to mention the chaos and division in society as a whole. * (see excerpt-article below)
“So, what else is new?”
Well, I am glad you asked. This should surprise you: the best country in dealing with the pandemic is rated POOR in health care, ranks 26th, I think. It has fewer health professionals and fewer hospitals. It discovered it’s first case in early January (one guy from Wuhan) and they immediately went into total response mode. They did it all, they did it quickly and they have had no deaths and only a few dozen cases. Even more surprising, they have a distant neighbouring country that did almost as well under similar conditions. Vietnam and Taiwan have managed to deal with C-19 better than everyone else and, South Korea and Japan are much closer to a similar situation than say, we are. We are ‘poor responders’ by comparison and we have been hundreds of times harder hit. Canada has NOT done well.
“We have done a lot better than the USA!”
True but that is not enough. That’s just sad.
But this blog is not about lamenting our poor response, nor even our pathetic leaders. This blog is about something bigger. This blog is about me. This blog is all about me and Sally and how we are coping. In a nutshell, we are doing very well, thank you. No worries. All is good.
But it is different. And, more to the point, it will continue to be and grow even more different as we trudge along over the next few (remaining?) years. The world will never be the same again and maybe that is OK. Maybe C-19 will simply be viewed as the catalyst for the change that was so desperately needed, that the Bubbas lashed out and voted for Trump. That vote, it seems, was really a ‘cry for help’, a desperate ‘Hail Mary’, an ignorant and primal response to ‘felt’ danger. The over-run-with-rats ship of state was sinking and the rats panicked.
I do not have a crystal ball. I can’t see five years ahead. But I suspect that five years is the very least amount of time that will be required to ‘stabilize’ the global economy, manage the disease and calm our collective jitters. And, if that effort is further stalled by fools-in-charge, the five year clock doesn’t even start.
So, to predictions: Sal and I will not be traveling. Amazon and our garden will only get bigger. Governments will fall. Some folks will get stinkin’ rich with various pandemic ‘responses’ and we’ll see a minor baby boom by this time next year. The cost of living will increase. Real estate will shift somewhat….commercial properties fall or go flat, suburbs much the same, but small rural towns will become more desirable and thus more expensive. Working from home will quadruple (or more) in occurrence. Electric cars will continue to displace ICE vehicles. Electric bicycles will explode in urban areas. Even suburban areas. Maybe even rural areas. Out-in-the-air transportation will be more popular. Immigration will continue – even grow. A ‘new’ generation of TV based entertainment will come along to keep us home and a lot of small moms-and-pops will cease. So will the restaurant society. More home cooking. There may even be a universal income within a few years.
Russia will push somebody too far and will be engaged in a war. The horror of that statement is that, currently, we are amongst the most-pushed. Russia keeps encroaching on us to the North. The very worst is when some idiot decides to mine or ‘develop’ the north. And the protests will come then but not if the encroacher is another country. Then Canada will sit back and just take it. Biden will be overwhelmed. He’ll do well but not great. It may be that they cannot Make America Great Again. I just hope they don’t try too hard – because when they try to be bigger and better, that usually means more wars.
Crime will increase – partly out of desperation, immigration adjustments and increased competition for fewer and fewer jobs. Partly out of entrenched police ineptness. Racism will continue to grow. Domestic terrorism will continue to grow. But smaller communities will ‘pull together’.
More on future-casting to come……………suggestions welcome…………………………
—————————–(this excerpt/article by H. Adelman)—————————————-
Where does Canada stand in its handling of the pandemic crisis? The situation clearly is not as bad as America’s. Just past mid-May, Canada had 77,000 cases of COVID-19 with 5,782 deaths. Two months later, on 11 July, the country had almost 108,000 cases and 8,783 deaths compared to America with 3,236,000 cases and 134,572 deaths, up from 1,520,000 cases and 89,932 deaths on 15 May. The U.S. doubled its cases over the last two months and increased the number of deaths by 50%. The Canadian case load increased 40% and the number of deaths by 52%. Thus, while a great deal of attention has been paid to the horrendous situation in the U.S and Canada has seemed in good shape comparatively, a close look at the figures indicate that Canada is increasing its number of cases at half the American rate but its death toll at roughly the same rate.
The U.S. has a population of 328.2 million people while Canada’s has only 37.6 million. That means that in absolute numbers relative to population, Canada has suffered about half as much from the pandemic as the U.S.
|Cases per 1,000||1||.28|
|Deaths per 100,000||35.6||23.4|
|Thus, although our rate of increase in cases is half the American rate, in absolute terms we have less than 30% of the number of American cases though one-third fewer deaths on the basis of population. However, if the American record was not such a complete disaster, Canada’s record would look like a horror show.
This becomes clear if we compare the Canadian rate to that of South Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam.
In my accounts on Taiwan (more than half of Canada’s population), South Korea (1.5 times Canada’s population), and Vietnam (2.5 times our population), the number of cases over almost the same period, was 451 and 371 from Taiwan and Vietnam respectively and 13,479 in South Korea (versus 107,600 in Canada), while the number of deaths respectively were 7 and 0 with 299 in South Korea (versus 8,783 in Canada). There is no comparison between Taiwan and Vietnam compared to Canada. Even South Korea has been far more successful in handling the pandemic. It is only when Canada is compared to the United States that the Canadian record looks reasonably good.