What are they thinking?

I am just ranting again and so any reader should take this with a grain of salt, a dash of lemon and a good scotch. I really KNOW nothing about epidemics except that I do not like ’em. But, here’s the point: In all of January, Wuhan counted under 100 infected people. They eventually revised that number as things were revealed but, even with mis-counting, lying, bad bureaucracy and bad testing, the number of cases acknowledged was nowhere near 1,000. Not then, anyway. Today, there are almost 2.5 million cases in the world and over 160,000 dead. And it is still spreading. Turkey just passed Iran in cases. Canada, which was doing very well just jumped from around 1000 deaths to 1500 in just a couple of days. Other countries that were doing well have slipped and are now suffering again.

By the way, my ignorance of Covid-19 has, so far, been well-matched by our so-called experts. They have missed a great deal. I do NOT hate or blame them but, face it, they do NOT have all the answers yet. It feels like they do not have even half of them.

And Trump is urging a return to work, an easing of containment restrictions, a ‘let’s get great again economic remobilization plan’. In effect, Trump is encouraging indirect genocide. The man is trying to kill his own people!

And worse, Bubba and the Deplorables are protesting for that very same re-opening. They want us all to get close and personal again. Sell MAGA hats. Maybe swap some spit…..shake hands….don’t wash ’em….and basically play pathogen roulette. The president is insane, orange and simple. His followers are literally the new-zombies of the apocalypse. This ‘movement’ is a horror show of internationally criminal proportions.

And other countries are contemplating the same madness!

“Well, you see……we can’t seem to beat it. And it costs us too much to try. So, if you can’t beat it, you may as well join it. We’ll just factor more deaths into our economic statistics. No biggy. We lose millions every year but we still make money. Oooohh, gots to get us some more money!”

If 1000 people can start a worldwide epidemic in 60 to 90 days, exactly what kind of idiot would ignore the 2.5M active cases spread now-strategically all around the world? If 1000 people can do that kind of damage, what can 2.5M do?

I know, I know……‘we are close to a vaccine, we understand the disease so much better, we now have masks’ and other band-aid nonsense is more and more commonplace. That does NOT make it right. In fact, as my mother used to say, “50M people CAN be wrong!” And 50 million is just about the number of Deplorables. They are wrong.

Seriously. This virus is far from ‘done’ and any talk of re-opening anything is premature. Any moves actually undertaken will constitute negligence in the extreme and any leader (gag) who even hints of it, should be criminally prosecuted.

Two insults in one

I once thought about it seriously but I would not buy land in Mexico.  They have a different system down there and, generally speaking, gringos are vulnerable to every surprise scam you can think of.  Their ‘justice’ system doesn’t exist.  Corruption rules.  Mexican investments should be considered expendable.  The government does not even run the country anymore.  They cannot make Mexico even mediocre again.

And that used to be the entire mess of it.  Crooks, bad construction, charges and fees that never end and Napoleonic Law as your only back-up.  Yours would be a loss waiting to happen.  Throw in the cartels and growing daily corruption and Mexico has lost all it’s credibility for the ex-pats community and most of the potential for it’s citizens.  That’s why so many try to leave.

Costa Rica saw all that coming some time ago and promised better.  And they delivered.  Costa Rica is more and more popular and their economy, as viewed through their real estate market, was healthy last time I looked.  But healthy means RISING PRICES and the whole idea of being an ex-pat is finding a cheaper (and warmer) place to live.  Costa Rica started to get out of reach.

………and so Panama came on the radar.  And Panama delivered the promise, too.  Ex-pats in Panama were pleased.  Things are good there.  And, of course, good means RISING PRICES but it is still ‘reasonable’.  Panama is almost doable.  I think.  Maybe.

But you know me…..going further feels better.

It is fun to watch small economies change and morph and bring with that change all their different cultural and social influences.  But, sadly, once you let loose the pigs of capitalism, the greed of corruption, the so-called market forces (often driven by ex-pats themselves) the differences become less and less, and the new place starts to look like the old places.

But here is the point of the blog: it seems that the MOTHER of all things capitalistic is beginning to lose her international appeal, too.  We’ve all seen it.  First went the ideals.  Then went the basic ethics.  Then came the deep corruption.  The US is losing ground not only on Covid-19, but everywhere BECAUSE they are now too corrupt, inept and they have ‘lost their moral way’.  Politics, health, defense, banking, civilized discourse, justice, equality, purpose, morality…..all failing.

You can see it if you look.  You can see the rot.  And, for a Canuck, one of the first inklings that there is something rotten in the sun is the view from our snowbirds.  They are staying away in droves.  The Sunbelt was NOT full of snow-birders this winter and you can be sure they will stay away next winter as well.   But, it is not just in the nano-example of ‘the second home market’ we see rot, it is in so many things ‘Merican as well.  Hell, I don’t even look at American-made cars anymore.  And so much of made-in-America is not as good as the label once promised, much of that ‘made-in-USA’ is a lie, anyway.  They assemble Chinese-made parts and claim it is made in America.

Of course, if looking for clues and subtleties is not your thing, you only have to see who they voted in as their ‘leader’.  What kind of social cancer is it that produces tumours like Trump?

Put succinctly, ‘they really do have to make America great again’.  But I do not think the recipe-to-follow is the one they have been using for so long.  “Let’s rig everything, cheat everyone and appoint a celebrity, preferably rich, to make our decisions.”  That recipe just made things much worse.  ‘Mericans have to get that ugly, corrupt, capitalistic beast tamed before greatness can have a hope.  And tamed means ‘equality’, ethics, morality, order, rule-of-law and a drained swamp.  ‘Mericans really need to purge their system.  They are starting to look like Mexico.  

 

Self-isolation or vacation?

Sal and I went out yesterday and pulled some crab traps.  Got skunked.  So, we dropped them in a new place and went fishin’ instead.  Sal doesn’t like fishin’ much with lots of ‘eeewwwwwws’  and shrieks and screams if there is a fish flipping about and it needs bonking or hook removal.  Sometimes she is a bit of a girly-girl.  Even equipped as I am with the wizened testicles of a septuagenarian, I can still cut, de-hook, bonk and skin a fish without so much as a whiff of guilt.  Men are just brutes.  Brutey-brutes.  

But all that changed yesterday.  Well, for her, anyway.  She caught a good sized ling.  And it put up a good fight.  And the ‘eeeeewwws’ changed to ‘OH my GAWDs’ and ‘Hollllleeeeeeee!!!!!’  She yelled, “I am hooked!”

I said, “I’ll get the pliers.  Don’t move!”

She said, “No, I am not hook-hooked.  I am just now really INTO fishin’ now….it’s way more fun if you actually catch one!”  

Mind you, she didn’t get too all manly on me when it came to cutting it up.  “Hey!  You have the cajones.  Use ’em, boy!” 

The good part of this story (if there is one) is that Sal can now fish, catch and, I am hoping someday, will be able kill and clean dinner sometime.  The bad part is that more and more I am doing the dusting, dishes and cooking…..clearly the world is in turmoil and we have a hormonal imbalance happening.  I am gonna ask my doctor for a pill.

Part two of the day was spent ‘gardening’.  I shoveled dirt, Sal provided supervision.  We have three raised planter boxes and a greenhouse.  Maybe say, 200 square feet of cultivation area…?  And here it is now bright and sunny and we have nothing but some old spring onion ‘volunteers’ growing.  It is time to get the garden in gear.

I have a strange relationship with gardens.  They tend to commit suicide under my watch.  Even the worms leave!  And, since the plants are not edible at that early stage, I do not really care all that much.  Not a lotta love there.

Part of that, of course, is that ‘my watch’ is so intermittent.  OK, nonexistent!  It is just that tending gardens seems a lot like watching paint dry to me. If you go to the garden on Tuesday, it looks exactly like it did on Monday.  So, I do not go on Wednesday.  Or Thursday.  Or even Friday.  And then the plants die.  Aaaaannndd….I still do not really care.  I know I should.  But, I don’t. 

I want Sally to care instead.  

The veggies that come from a cared-for garden taste ten times better than the ones on Styrofoam and wrapped in plastic.  I love the veggies that come from the garden.  IF they come.  If they do NOT come, I find myself caring about the veggies that are NOT THERE but should be.  It is kinda juvenile on my part.  So, I dig and take direction.  It is the least I can do.  I’ve looked at this issue a great deal and determined that it is literally the LEAST I can do.  So, Sal ‘cares’ for the garden.  I care about EATING the garden.  We have kind of ‘worked it out’ philosophically but we still currently have no garden.  So, more digging, I guess.

Sal will tell me what to do.

 

It is NOT all bleak…..

…..airfares are coming down……probably get a great deal on a cruise….

Friends of ours are Las Vegas habitues.  “You guys going?”  “Dave!  Have you seen the strip?  Las Vegas is a ghost town!”  

Other snow-birding and vacationing friends have also written along similar lines….“We came home early (or didn’t go).  Glad to get back in the country.  It’s not a good feeling out there.”

But ruined vacations are not really the big news for them or anyone – lives ‘on hold’ is the new normal.  Their only news is ‘we are getting in the garden’ or ‘I am gonna power-wash the deck’…..most folks do not have much news at all. Self isolation kind of does that to ya….

So, we’ve been taking inventory just to add some excitement to our lives. We are literally bean counters. Sal’s ‘food’ list will likely reach in excess of 225 separate items that are stored, like pasta, beans, boxes and cans-of-stuff but not any frozen or fresh stuff. If you add up everything we likely have 300 different edible items. Add cleaners and off-the-shelf hygiene and medicinal stuff and the list could easily reach 400 or more separate items.

Those are the products and do NOT include how much of the product we have. Volumes vary. Olive oil is one product but we have lots of it. Same for flour, rice and the like. But some products are in low supply like wasabi powder and won ton wraps. I only have enough wasabi for six months and we are bereft of won ton wraps…..but no one is panicking over won ton quite yet.

I have 3 full packages of papadums. A bit low on nori. We’ll survive.

I have also ‘wondered’ about projects. I am unlikely to go in to town for any materials so I am looking through junk piles to see what I have and I have enough crap to make a lot more crap. I will basically take off-cuts and make more smaller off-cuts. and saw dust. I am hoping to make a solar oven. Maybe get a birdhouse from it all, too…..probably not….

The big panic is over quilting material. Sal claims a paucity of material despite reams of the stuff everywhere. Fact: quilting and hoarding are on the same behavioural spectrum. Her hobby does not bode well for the future. And she kinda likes cats…..when I die….and if she starts getting cats……OMG!

If that giant quilted hairball-syndrome should happen and I am not dead, I will be sure to have the option of assisted termination written into a living will. Quilting and cats is almost enough to send me screaming from this mortal coil by themselves. But, if we are still lacking won tons, just end it all painlessly for me, please.

Just went fishin’….buddy caught a nice Ling for us. We put down prawn and crab traps. Nice day.

 

TEOTWAWKI

The end of the world as we know it (TEOTWAWKI) may be upon us. And I admit, I am a bit surprised.

It sure as hell doesn’t look apocalyptic nor does it look ‘Hollywood-zombie-disaster-alien-invasion’ kinda thing. It is not the End of Days I envisioned.
It all kinda looks much the same still. In many ways, it will even remain much the same. But I do not think it will be the same. In fact, if you really look, it is already changing.

And it is NOT really C-19 that did it. We did it by decades of mismanaging. Decades of complacency. Decades of same ‘ol, same ol’. We got lazy, corrupt and stupid. We set ourselves up for this fall. Covid was just the catalyst.

Worse, much of what was the same and will sadly continue on in the same way, will also continue to erode us. We will continue our work in the direction of achieving the ‘End Times’, I am sure.

Why?

Because we are so completely invested in the institutions, infrastructure, habits, beliefs and motivations we took so long to develop. We believe in what we believe. Or, better put: we believe in what we have been believing for some considerable time. We are as ignorant as were the religious in the Middle Ages and Dark ages. Like those three blind mice, we have no other point of view than the one we are already committed to.

The operating thesis is: “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it!” Problem: it is broken but we may be able to patch it up with some duct tape. Might be a chance to re-think some things, tho…..?

That is not easy. Ya gotta shatter some big constructs a lot of rich people are getting rich with. Winners in games don’t like the game to end.

Worse, we have only the same box of tools, the same bag of tricks and we can’t seem to really think outside the box. We will hold the same elections. We will select from the same corrupt parties. We will maintain bad, inefficient systems, invest in petroleum, promote greed and competition over cooperation and we will continue to rape and plunder the planet. And KILL everything. We will divide to conquer, promote inequality, ignore social issues of growing magnitude and focus on the vulgar, primal and ugly. We will enrich the bad guys, exploit the poor and reward the shallow. We are not only creatures, we are creatures of basic and ignorant habit.

We will also continue to wonder why we are not happy.

I do not think this somewhat timely catalyst is a big enough kick in the pants to get us to change. Too bad. It seems big. Ironic, really….we NEED to change but the kick-in-the-catalyst needed to make that happen may be almost too much for us to survive it.

We’d rather suffer another ‘moderate’ global incident so that we can carry on carrying on. Indeed, our current goal is to ‘get back to normal’ even when it is the ‘normal’ that is actually the problem!

Don’t misunderstand me, ‘normal’ didn’t cause C-19. Like I said before, a bat did. Or a pig or a bird…whatever….the disease is NOT the big problem. But it was a catalyst or wake-up call. And it may come to be regarded as the BIG catalyst (if we act on it). But C-19 is NOT the bigger problem. The big problems have been accruing for decades and are mentioned above. Our system is flawed and flawed mortally.

Change or die!

Put simply and as an example: Inequality breeds poverty. Poverty begets poor health. Poor health is a ripe opportunity for viruses and pandemics. Health and economic systems based on inequality leave even more people vulnerable and the corrupt system and the disease feeds on itself til everything is dead.

The old ways just don’t work very well anymore in the global age. They are the problem. We need to re-imagine, re-invent and re-invigorate our systems. We really need to change things up.

You can accept that or not (“Dave, competition and inequality are good for progress! The earth is meant to be plundered. Democracy is the only way to go. Capitalism works! Oil is good. Pray to Mecca! Who cares about the ocean?). But, if we do not change, the next BIG one may be too much to bounce back from. And then….

….we shall see what changes are IMPOSED on us by the next catalyst. That one could be much, much bigger.

Trudeau has to go

Trudeau stated yesterday that ‘he/they acted on the best information they had at the time’.  That was said in response to a reporter’s question about our national response to C-19 and it sounded almost reasonable in that phony hesitant and smooth-patois of his.  But, after a minute, I went apoplectic.  That was one of the stupidest statements I had ever heard.

Firstly, we have a sophisticated, educated, modern nation with the people generally accepting governance, accepting rules and regulations, accepting laws and institutions, accepting the ‘ruling class’ (with all their perks and rewards) as a trade-off for ‘keeping us safe’ from all those things that are bigger than we are.  We want to be protected by our military in war, our police against criminals and we put our faith in our Health Care system against dangers to the public health.  We have paid through the nose for these systems and we have, for the most part, put all those systems on a societal pedestal.  Doctors, soldiers, first-responders get our respect.

But I just heard our dear leader was making his best decisions as the information unfolded?  Is that where I want to be when an emergency is set upon us?  Waiting while Trudeau and his staff figure it out?  Haven’t they and the other trough-feeders been in a position to figure it all out well IN ADVANCE?  Shouldn’t all our experts getting all that pay and sitting in all those meetings and consuming vast quantities of resources every year have a reasonably appropriate plan ready to implement from day one?

In every human endeavour from planting a garden to waging a war, the ‘playing field’ changes.  It is never 100% predictable.  Adjustments need to be made.  I know that.  But, despite that, we prepare.  We plan.  We stock up.  We might even ‘revise’ the plan from time to time because we are being RESPONSIBLE and we know that the times and threats can and do change.  We ‘model’ scenarios, we make preparations.  We have 80% of our initial response on the shelf and ready to go.

Not this government, not this time.  

This time our ‘leaders’ left us without proper equipment, proper protocols, proper medical kits, proper civilian responses and grossly inadequate supplies.  Our institutions were overwhelmed within the first week.  Our senior’s homes, for sure.  Many hospitals, too.  Our genius leaders contemplated the mess, their mistakes, their own ineptness and, in their wisdom, decided to throw cash at it.  “Give the poor people some money!  That’s a good plan, right?”

That money is just a band-aid.  It is not a plan, it is not a cure, it is NOT showing any kind of leadership!  It is reactionary and facile.  Am I complaining?  Yes.  I wasn’t complaining before I heard Trudeau speak.  Or Tam.  But then it hit me: “We are dealing with this previously anticipated, previously experienced threat of a similar nature (SARS) from the seat of our pants!”

And that is annoying.

One of my readers is incensed over the ‘throw money at it’ program pointing out that the taxpayer will have to absorb yet another hit.  But it is much worse than that.  Even tho the government is throwing money at it and that seems to be somewhat unreasonable and somewhat reasonable given the circumstances today, it is the CIRCUMSTANCES that they have neglected for so long in the past that required this ‘good money- after-bad’ approach.  Trudeau spending billions today is covering up for the elites spending billions previously (and every year) but NOT GETTING THE JOB DONE!

I admit that if I was the prime minister or even a senior politician, I would not know where we are adequately prepared for ‘all events’ and where we were lacking.  I would likely do what Justin did (I hope he did) and I would ask for updated reports from our military, our health department, our food supplies, fuel supplies and such.  I would ask to see the models they have projected and under what kind of circumstances.  And I would take their advice on updates and revisions.  I might even add a bit of an opinion from my newly acquired grand poobah position as the PM.  But one thing you could be sure of: when the health minister gave his/her report, I’d ask, “How are we for a pandemic?  You know, like SARs or Ebola or Trump Derangement Syndrome?  We expect one, right? Do we know what to do and who is doing it?  Do we have all the equipment we’ll need?  Do we have LOTS of all that stuff?  If not, Health Minister, go get it.  That’s your job.  Your job is to keep our people safe.  Get fully equipped to the best of your ability and let me know when you are fully up to speed so that I can see for myself and not just take some paper report as proof. “

Isn’t that the job?

Shouldn’t it be?

Let me put this another way…….we have people out here (and especially on the other island) that, in their spare time and with no budgets, have fully operational ‘island plans’.  The level of organization out here is beyond my expectations.  It’s inadequate, of course, because us/we cannot plan for the BIG ONE but, damn it…they are even trying to plan for that, too.  They have the bases covered.  We have a food sustainability group.  A ‘troubleshooters’ group.  Many volunteers for many different programs.  We even share a multi-island disaster relief plan out here. This is NOT an unconscious community that would have to operate from the seat of THEIR pants.  We have our little world better under-control than does our Federal group of ninnies have our nation.

 

 

 

C-19 is not the only disease….

Trump has a 15% Covid-19 response approval rating in Canada according to Ipsos Reid.  85% disapproval.  But that number is skewed by Alberta which has close to a 40% approval of Trump’s buffoonery during the crisis.  Most provinces disapprove more than 85%.  Trump barely gets a 40% approval even in Bubbaville, Tennessee or Cretin, Kentucky.  Turns out we have even dumber Bubbas in Canada. 

The picture attached to the article I read shows a man sitting in crowd with his wife and one of them has a MAGA hat (sitting on a lap).  This is a crowd (presumably listening to a Covid-19 lecture) with no masks, no social distancing and no brain matter.  And they are the smartest ones.  At least they went to the lecture. 

Oh, I know that Trump supporters have a point.  Only one, mind you.  The swamp SHOULD be drained.  The old institutions needed shaking up.  ‘Merica is slipping behind in oh-so-many ways.  The world’s leading nation needed a fresh mind, an irreverent spirit, a revolutionary-of-sorts.  But, sad to say, they got a mean-spirited, incompetent idiot whose only obvious natural skill is massive narcissism, self congratulations over cheating and going bankrupt and criticisms of others with an education.  Guy can’t read or talk properly, either.  And we have had three years of him proving it.  And the swamp keeps getting bigger.

The guy is a HUGE loser!

But you know all that.  My question is: how can a man who intimidated us (NAFTA),  ‘stole’ from us (3M false masks) and discriminated against us on the world stage get any approval whatsoever from any true Canadian?  Trump wanted to keep honestly ordered face masks from Canadians during a pandemic!  How does anyone reconcile that?  Do Albertans subscribe so much to the Bubba doctrine that they admire even those who renege on legal contracts and, in doing so, harm fellow Canadians?  How do they wear the hat of a ‘movement’ that spews hate and bigotry and NOW also includes cheating and discriminating against their closest neighbour and ally?

But, again, you know the answers to those rhetorical questions.  The point of today’s blog is this: Trump will go.  If not in November, then four years later.  I am hoping a Secret Service guy snaps.  But the legacy Trump will leave will be one of a divided nation hated and despised by virtually all other countries in the world.  Trump came, he saw and he divided.  He accomplished nothing of any value and destroyed decades, if not centuries, of American relationships around the world and in North America.

But he didn’t stop there.  He has further fractured our own country like a spy-within.

We have always had an uneasy national family.  Quebec usually acting like the misunderstood black sheep, wanting more, threatening more, controlling more of the economy and the government (most Prime Ministers come from Quebec).  Quebec has been a smidge hard to live with at times.  And Alberta has always been what they call CONSERVATIVE but which is anything but conservative.  They spell conservative, S-T-U-P-I-D.  They relate to Texas more than their own neighbouring provinces and ‘drill baby, drill’ is like their motto.  They are clearly on a different path than BC, the land of tree-huggers, whale-savers and lotus-eaters.  They are the uneducated rednecks and we are the la-la-land hippies.

Of course, everyone loathes Ontario.  We shouldn’t, really.  Ontario is hated mainly because it and the Federal Government are so Ontario-centric.  Neither the feds, the MAIN media nor the Ontario government cares much for Eastern or Western Canada.  They really just like themselves. A lot!

So, it was not a difficult demolition for Trump to undertake.  Canada is a bit of a modern and divided family that rarely dances or plays well together.  But we have hung in there and, when the chips were down, Canadians have previously rallied and pulled together.  But Trump is a test.  A REAL test!  How can we accept our dumb-but-adjacent sister, Alberta, knowing that she is on the side of the person who cheated the family?  How do we continue to tolerate the idiocy of someone who prefers Texas non-culture over BC eco-culture?  How do we live with a province hell-bent on embracing environmental destruction, bigotry and corruption?  How do we look a MAGA hat wearer in the eye?

It will be difficult in future for our country to heal our own internal wounds.  Having said that, MOST Albertans aren’t idiots.  Most Albertans are good people.  Most Albertans are good Canadians.  But, sheesh, they have a high number of numb-nuts.  Jus’ sayin’…..

 

A trip to town….

…I had a few things that needed doing and it seemed like delaying would only make the risk greater.  So, today, I went to town.  I went alone.

Interesting.

The 11:00 am ferry off the near island is usually one of the busiest.  There were less than a dozen cars today.  I first went to the bank.  The ATM.  Sitting in front was a pudgy, older woman with a hand-held sign saying ‘STOP’.  On her lap was a small explanatory statement saying the obvious.  By then, I was already wearing a mask and rubber gloves.  She waved me through.  I was alone there.  Two machines.  Halfway through, some guy arrived to use the second ATM.  I noticed that two people side-by-side at ATMs are NOT six feet apart.  He did not have a mask.  He did not have gloves.  When I left, I wiped the keyboard with an alcohol wipe.  A woman waiting said thank you as I left.  She did NOT have a mask or gloves either.

I then went to a store to get rice (for my world famous sushi – emphasis on ‘my world’) and the two people in the store are Japanese.  No masks.  No gloves for the cashier.  “Hey, you two.  I’ve been in Asia.  Typically you would be wearing a mask.  No?”

“We cannot find any.  We would but we there are none.”

“We’ll be making some.  I’ll send you a few.”

Then to the liquor store.  It was there I saw the first OTHER person wearing a mask and gloves.  He was old.  At least my age.  We nodded.  The staff were good and I went to the car with one of them helping to carry.  “Hey, man.  Not my business but I am wearing a mask because I am in contact with old folks many of whom have compromised immune systems.  I am guessing you have more than a few customers who are the same.  Shouldn’t you have a mask?”

“Yep.  They are coming this afternoon.  Tomorrow at the latest.  We are all sweating it out in the meantime.”

Bottom line: one person (other than me) with a mask.  The BC Liquor store WITHOUT masks.  No one but me with gloves.  Everyone indicating that they were aware but – all but one – doing nothing about it.  Are they stupid?  No.  Just playing the hand they were dealt.  I get it.

But, if the disease endures, you do NOT have to wonder why.

 

 

 

 

C-19

I am assuming that you have all kept up with the C-19 pandemic. I am sure most people have all over the world. But I am writing because I just changed my mind/attitude/fear level AGAIN. I now think it is worse by twice….meaning: I am thinking about taking a few extra steps.

“What changed your mind?”

Ontario Health is projecting our ‘lockdown’ or response phase on this virus may last as long as 24 months. That’s a possible game changer. It feels like it might be.

C-19 is a killer. People will die. It will get much uglier. But that is NOT what changed my mind. I already knew that. Death happens. Sometimes in bunches. For me, the bigger issue is the prolonged time. Two years is massively disruptive to a pretty fragile, just-in-time, built-for-profit social system.

Emergencies that last a few days, seem to change little (like ice storms, blackouts, etc.) for the larger society. Emergencies that endure a couple of weeks make much more significant impacts (Hurricanes, floods, battles and terrorism) and, when that happens, the local area is in a rebuilding/renovation phase for a considerably longer time (Haiti, Katrina, etc) – weeks and months. But a slow-burn, drawn-out crisis has the potential for changing supply lines, institutions, services, civil behaviours, even infrastructure.

Twenty four months of disruption may derail our modern society even more significantly than might a natural disaster that we had previously found more common. For those ‘common’ disasters we seem to have some kind of typical response plan even if those responses are usually found somewhat wanting for those suffering.

We do not have such a plan for this emergency. We do not have a typical response to this. And, worse, it seems that the response we do have is already strained to the max as well as starting to come apart. And the virus is still in the growth phase. I do not think the ‘system’ can hold for 24 months.

When I say that, I am not implying chaos and anarchy, zombies and armed Bubbas, starvation and contagion. I am not suggesting that this is the apocalypse. But I am saying that such a possibility is now (possibly) on the radar. Disruption is likely approaching. I feel I have to at least think about it. A lot. And I feel as if I had better be prepared to act on my new thoughts.

I am not alone. If the general population is steady now at say, Defcon 5 (alert and responding), I am at Defcon 2. (freaked). I just feel as if I have to do more.

“Like what?”

Well, we have enough food and water for months. But not 24 months unless I start to kill deers and, even then, that is helluva lot of venison sandwiches to suffer through. So food supplies have to be looked at. And so it goes. Our medications will not last that long either. Gas for the boat? Propane for the stove? And that is just the OBVIOUS wrenches-in-the-works that pop up. As you know, an emergency is something very hard to plan for. What will the next emergent’event’ look like?

“Dave! Calm down.”

I am calm. But, when things change, it is prudent to adjust to the change. I think Ontario Health just changed the BIG picture.

Big talk. No action.

Cougar Sal and Dave were planning to risk it all on a one-day delivery turnaround down in the Big Smoke.  Deliver moho, throw the keys at buddy and jump in the still-running Pathfinder to go home.  Move fast.  Carry little.  Only sandwiches, masks, gloves and a thermos of tea.  Kiss no one.  It’s the simple plans that have a chance.  Throw in a wrinkle and all progress stops.  It’s the Canadian way.

And what simpler wrinkle can there be than they stopped the ferries?!

That’s right.  The route we take (Departure Bay to West Van) wasn’t just cut back, it was eliminated!  Nada.  Zip.  And it is gone, gone, gone for 60 days!  Virtually no notice.  Which, since we were leaving early Monday, could have caught us ‘outed’ on the highway but (whew) it did not.  I am sure some poor saps coming down from Up Island for a Saturday crossing are pretty ticked but there it is.  Live on an island and die by the ferry.

Such drama is NOT quite true.  There are still some limited sailings from other terminals and they would work as long as Murphy doesn’t mess with us.  But add a Murphy wrinkle and the whole schedule falls apart.  No flexibility.

Bottom line: we don’t go.  Not yet, anyway.

“I called my nearest island neighbour. “Good news and bad news, J.  Which do you want first?”

“Gimme the bad news.” 

“Bad news is that Sal and I are staying here with you and Jo on the island.  Not going!”

“Yikes!  That’s horrible news.  Can’t you go somewhere else for awhile?  So, what’s the good news?”

“Good news is that Sal and I are staying here with you and Jo on the island.  We can go fishing.”

“Yippee!  That’s great news!” 

C-19 is putting some pretty major dents in the system.  Things you might expect (airline stoppage, lay-offs, illnesses, deaths, shortages, etc) and some you don’t (our cell phone service has been poor, we can’t go on the ferry, no whales sighted yet).  This is a time of major change and no one saw it coming.  Which kinda proves my theory that you cannot really plan for an emergency because emergencies, by definition, are surprises.  C-19 is proving surprising if nothing else.

Or is it?  Surprising, I mean?  Our Covfefe (Circle of very fine entertaining friends and eccentrics) includes more than just a few conspiracy theorists.  They send me stuff.  And they posit that C-19 was all a plot by either the USA, Russia, the Queen, China, the CDC, WHO, Tom Brady or maybe even the Guess Who.  The motive is anything from making Trump look good to making Trump look bad, getting Putin appointed cheese-for-life, getting revenge on the Patriots or even just patriots, teaching Harry and Megan a lesson and on and on and on.  Conspiracy types are usually strong on suspicion and extremely creative in weaving unrelated ‘facts’ together.

The latest one was based on the fact that the CDC recently posted a number of jobs available for pandemic management.  They advertised those positions in November of 2019 and, by doing so, PROVED that they knew what was coming.  Furthermore, they KNEW what was coming because they, themselves, released the virus in order to (see list of motives above).

“I saw a posting for a seismologist.  Does that mean the US Geological Survey Department or maybe the National Geographic magazine or maybe the US Fracking Agency or maybe the Saudis are planning an earthquake?”

“Wow.  I never thought of that.  I better get on that, man. “

Nothing like a pandemic to bring out the best in us.